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The Message Matters

The Message Matters Author Lynn Vavreck
ISBN-10 9780691139623
Release 2009
Pages 205
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Demonstrating how candidates and their campaigns affect the economic vote, this book provides a different way of understanding past elections - and predicting future ones. It offers a theory of campaigns that explains why electoral victory requires more than simply being the candidate favored by prevailing economic conditions.



The Gamble All In

The Gamble  All In Author John Sides
ISBN-10 9781400845705
Release 2012-12-21
Pages 60
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"All In" is the third free eBook preview chapter from John Sides and Lynn Vavreck's groundbreaking Fall 2013 book, The Gamble: Choice and Chance in the 2012 Presidential Election. Picking up where the second chapter, "Random, or Romney?" left off, "All In" continues the story of the 2012 Republican primary, up to the point when Mitt Romney clinched the nomination. Sides and Vavreck tell the gripping story of how Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich seemed to threaten Romney's chances, and why both challengers fizzled out. The authors examine elite endorsements, voters' attitudes, media coverage, advertising, fundraising, and the efforts of each campaign. In the end, they argue, Romney benefited from the sequence of state primaries and caucuses, while Santorum and Gingrich could not compete with him week in and week out. Romney had not only superior fundraising and organization but also broader support within the party, among leaders and voters alike. Despite the persistent claim that the party wanted "Anybody but Romney," by the spring of 2012, the party had made its bet: it was "all in" on Romney. This book represents an unprecedented effort to use a "Moneyball" approach to tell the dramatic story of the election campaign, drawing on large quantities of data about the economy, public opinion, news coverage, and political advertising to determine the factors that really made a difference. At the same time, Sides and Vavreck visited the campaign trail to find out what mattered most to the campaigns and voters. The result promises to be the only book about the election that combines on-the-ground reporting, social science, and quantitative data in order to look beyond the anecdote, folklore, and conventional wisdom that too often pass for analysis of presidential elections. To find out more, download this chapter and begin reading the authors' special introduction to this and the other free chapters. The fourth and final eBook preview chapter will be released in spring 2013. The Gamble is scheduled to be published as a complete print and eBook in September 2013.



The Gamble

The Gamble Author John Sides
ISBN-10 9781400852277
Release 2014-09-07
Pages 360
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"Game changer." We heard it so many times during the 2012 U.S. presidential election. But what actually made a difference in the contest—and what was just hype? In this groundbreaking book, John Sides and Lynn Vavreck tell the dramatic story of the election—with a big difference. Using an unusual "moneyball" approach and drawing on extensive quantitative data, they look beyond the anecdote, folklore, and conventional wisdom that often pass for election analysis to separate what was truly important from what was irrelevant. The Gamble combines this data with the best social science research and colorful on-the-ground reporting, providing the most accurate and precise account of the election yet written—and the only book of its kind. In a new preface, the authors reflect on the place of The Gamble in the tradition of presidential election studies, its reception to date, and possible paths for future social science research.



The Gamble High Rollers

The Gamble  High Rollers Author John Sides
ISBN-10 9781400845712
Release 2013-04-02
Pages 80
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"High Rollers" is the fourth and final free eBook preview chapter from John Sides and Lynn Vavreck's groundbreaking Fall 2013 book, The Gamble: Choice and Chance in the 2012 Presidential Election. Picking up where the third chapter, "All In," left off, "High Rollers" continues the dramatic story of the 2012 campaign into the summer. As Barack Obama and Mitt Romney began to face off directly, the contest was now down to two well financed and seasoned campaigners--"high rollers" playing the game of presidential politics at the highest level and putting everything on the table. With the race close in the polls, Obama and Romney began to place big and sometimes risky bets to change the dynamics of the race and establish a substantial lead. In combative ads and speeches, Obama tried to depict Romney as a rich, out-of-touch, and insensitive businessman. Romney selected Paul Ryan as his running mate, potentially signaling an unexpected shift in message from Obama's handling of the economy to a debate about the size of government and the national debt. But despite such high-stakes bets, the candidates were so equally matched that they largely played to a draw over the summer, and there was no net change in the polls between the beginning of May and the end of August. As Sides and Vavreck tell the story of the summer, they explain why such stability is actually typical of the competitive environment of presidential campaigns. The Gamble, which is scheduled to be published as a complete print and eBook in October 2013, tells the story of the election--with a big difference. Using an unusual "moneyball" approach, Sides and Vavreck look beyond the anecdote, folklore, and conventional wisdom that often pass for election analysis. Instead, they draw on extensive quantitative data about the economy, public opinion, news coverage, and political advertising to separate what actually made a difference in the contest--and what was just hype. Combining this data with the best social science research and colorful on-the-ground reporting, they look at the interplay between the candidates' strategic choices--the ads, speeches, rallies, and debates--and the chance circumstances of the election, especially the economy. The most accurate and precise account of the election yet written, and the only book of its kind, The Gamble is a must-read for political junkies, analysts, journalists, consultants, and academics. To find out more, download this chapter and begin reading the authors' special introduction to this and the other free chapters.



Political Behavior of the American Electorate

Political Behavior of the American Electorate Author William H. Flanigan
ISBN-10 9781483323428
Release 2014-01-27
Pages 336
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The 2012 elections took place in a time of intense party polarization and a weak economy, yet the incumbent president won reelection. How did Obama pull off his victory? New authors Elizabeth Theiss-Morse and Michael Wagner continue the tradition of Flanigan and Zingale by using American National Election Study data to provide a thorough analysis of the 2012 elections and of American political behavior more generally. The authors explore get-out-the-vote efforts and the reasons people voted the way they did, as well as the nature and impact of partisanship, issues, and news media coverage in 2012—all with an eye toward understanding the trends that led up to the election.



Affluence and Influence

Affluence and Influence Author Martin Gilens
ISBN-10 9781400844821
Release 2012-07-22
Pages 352
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Can a country be a democracy if its government only responds to the preferences of the rich? In an ideal democracy, all citizens should have equal influence on government policy--but as this book demonstrates, America's policymakers respond almost exclusively to the preferences of the economically advantaged. Affluence and Influence definitively explores how political inequality in the United States has evolved over the last several decades and how this growing disparity has been shaped by interest groups, parties, and elections. With sharp analysis and an impressive range of data, Martin Gilens looks at thousands of proposed policy changes, and the degree of support for each among poor, middle-class, and affluent Americans. His findings are staggering: when preferences of low- or middle-income Americans diverge from those of the affluent, there is virtually no relationship between policy outcomes and the desires of less advantaged groups. In contrast, affluent Americans' preferences exhibit a substantial relationship with policy outcomes whether their preferences are shared by lower-income groups or not. Gilens shows that representational inequality is spread widely across different policy domains and time periods. Yet Gilens also shows that under specific circumstances the preferences of the middle class and, to a lesser extent, the poor, do seem to matter. In particular, impending elections--especially presidential elections--and an even partisan division in Congress mitigate representational inequality and boost responsiveness to the preferences of the broader public. At a time when economic and political inequality in the United States only continues to rise, Affluence and Influence raises important questions about whether American democracy is truly responding to the needs of all its citizens.



The Candidate

The Candidate Author Samuel L. Popkin
ISBN-10 9780199939411
Release 2012-05-01
Pages 360
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There are two winners in every presidential election campaign: The inevitable winner when it begins--such as Rudy Giuliani or Hillary Clinton in 2008--and the inevitable victor after it ends. In The Candidate, Samuel Popkin explains the difference between them. While plenty of political insiders have written about specific campaigns, only Popkin--drawing on a lifetime of presidential campaign experience and extensive research--analyzes what it takes to win the next campaign. The road to the White House is littered with geniuses of campaigns past. Why doesn't practice make perfect? Why is experience such a poor teacher? Why are the same mistakes replayed again and again? Based on detailed analyses of the winners--and losers--of the last 60 years of presidential campaigns, Popkin explains how challengers get to the White House, how incumbents stay there for a second term, and how successors hold power for their party. He looks in particular at three campaigns--George H.W. Bush's muddled campaign for reelection in 1992, Al Gore's flawed campaign for the presidency in 2000, and Hillary Clinton's mismanaged effort to win the nomination in 2008--and uncovers the lessons that Ronald Reagan can teach future candidates about teamwork. Throughout, Popkin illuminates the intricacies of presidential campaigns--the small details and the big picture, the surprising mistakes and the predictable miscues--in a riveting account of what goes on inside a campaign and what makes one succeed while another fails. As Popkin shows, a vision for the future and the audacity to run are only the first steps in a candidate's run for office. To truly survive the most grueling show on earth, presidential hopefuls have to understand the critical factors that Popkin reveals in The Candidate. In the wake of the 2012 election, Popkin's analysis looks remarkably prescient. Obama ran a strong incumbent-oriented campaign but made typical incumbent mistakes, as evidenced by his weak performance in the first debate. The Romney campaign correctly put power in the hands of a strong campaign manager, but it couldn't overcome the weaknesses of the candidate.



The Oxford Handbook of Public Accountability

The Oxford Handbook of Public Accountability Author Mark Bovens
ISBN-10 9780191002571
Release 2014-05-15
Pages 800
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Over the past two decades public accountability has become not only an icon in political, managerial, and administrative discourse but also the object of much scholarly analysis across a broad range of social and administrative sciences. This handbook provides a state of the art overview of recent scholarship on public accountability. It collects, consolidates, and integrates an upsurge of inquiry currently scattered across many disciplines and subdisciplines. It provides a one-stop-shop on the subject, not only for academics who study accountability, but also for practitioners who are designing, adjusting, or struggling with mechanisms for accountable governance. Drawing on the best scholars in the field from around the world, The Oxford Handbook of Public Accountability showcases conceptual and normative as well as the empirical approaches in public accountability studies. In addition to giving an overview of scholarly research in a variety of disciplines, it takes stock of a wide range of accountability mechanisms and practices across the public, private and non-profit sectors, making this volume a must-have for both practitioners and scholars, both established and new to the field.



The Logic of American Politics

The Logic of American Politics Author Samuel Kernell
ISBN-10 9781506358635
Release 2017-02-27
Pages 744
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This new edition of the bestselling The Logic of American Politics is thoroughly updated and covers the dramatic 2016 election results with a thorough analysis of those results. It arms students with a revised introduction to institutional design that makes concepts such as command, veto, agenda control, voting rules, and delegation easier for students to master and apply, so they clearly see how the American political system was devised and why it works the way it does. Authors Samuel Kernell, Gary C. Jacobson, Thad Kousser, and Lynn Vavreck build students' critical thinking through a simple yet powerful idea: politics is about solving collective action problems. This new edition continues to delve into partisan differences among voters and in government and highlight the increasingly partisan nature of campaigns. By exploring issues such as the Affordable Care Act’s troubled implementation, the increasing legalization of marijuana and same-sex marriage in the states, and the debate over immigration, the book illustrates how the institutional structures of government, federalism, and even campaigns can help voters make sense of their choices. The concluding chapter on policymaking examines the noticeable logic that guides American policy, as shown through issues like health care reform, global climate change, and the federal budget. Students glean insights into the sources of policy problems, identify possible solutions, and realize why agreement on those solutions is often so hard to achieve.



American Government Institutions and Policies Brief Version

American Government  Institutions and Policies  Brief Version Author James Q. Wilson
ISBN-10 9781337514293
Release 2016-12-19
Pages 400
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This popular brief text for the one-semester or one-quarter American Government course maintains the framework of the Wilson, DiIulio, Bose, and Levendusky comprehensive text, emphasizing the historical development of the American political system, who governs, and to what ends. The 13th edition of AMERICAN GOVERNMENT: INSTITUTIONS AND POLICIES, BRIEF VERSION, offers coverage of the 2014 and 2016 campaigns and elections; budget battles and the sequestration of funds; ongoing debates about immigration, gay marriage, and other key issues in American politics; and foreign-policy decisions on Afghanistan, the Middle East, and North Korea. We have also reworked each chapter to focus on a clear set of learning objectives to guide students through the material. Important Notice: Media content referenced within the product description or the product text may not be available in the ebook version.



Campaigning to the New American Electorate

Campaigning to the New American Electorate Author Marisa Abrajano
ISBN-10 9780804774703
Release 2010-04-24
Pages 216
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Presuming that a strong relationship exists between one's identity and political behavior, American politicians have long targeted immigrant and ethnic communities based on their shared ethnic or racial identity. But to what extent do political campaign messages impact voters' actual decisions and behaviors? This new book is one of the first to examine and compare the campaign efforts used to target Latinos with those directed at the rest of the electorate. Specifically, it focuses on televised Spanish and English-language advertising developed for the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections, as well as for dozens of congressional and statewide contests from 2000–2004. Author Marisa Abrajano's research reveals exposure to these televised political ads indeed impacts whether Latinos turn out to vote and, if so, for whom they vote. But the effect of these advertising messages is not uniform across the Latino electorate. Abrajano explores the particular factors that affect Latinos' receptivity to political ads and offers key findings for those interested in understanding how to mobilize this critical swing group in American politics.



The Logic of American Politics Interactive Ebook

The Logic of American Politics Interactive Ebook Author
ISBN-10 1506385176
Release
Pages
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The Logic of American Politics Interactive Ebook has been writing in one form or another for most of life. You can find so many inspiration from The Logic of American Politics Interactive Ebook also informative, and entertaining. Click DOWNLOAD or Read Online button to get full The Logic of American Politics Interactive Ebook book for free.



The electoral challenge

The electoral challenge Author Stephen C. Craig
ISBN-10 1604266368
Release 2010-07-27
Pages 343
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The electoral challenge has been writing in one form or another for most of life. You can find so many inspiration from The electoral challenge also informative, and entertaining. Click DOWNLOAD or Read Online button to get full The electoral challenge book for free.



New Left Review

New Left Review Author
ISBN-10 OSU:32435077029106
Release 2009
Pages
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New Left Review has been writing in one form or another for most of life. You can find so many inspiration from New Left Review also informative, and entertaining. Click DOWNLOAD or Read Online button to get full New Left Review book for free.



American Public Opinion

American Public Opinion Author Robert S. Erikson
ISBN-10 UOM:39076002914336
Release 2011
Pages 391
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Updated in a new 8th edition, this book goes beyond a simple presentation of data to include a critical analysis of the role of public opinion in American democracy. It provides an in-depth analysis of public opinion, beginning with its origins in political socialization, the impact of the media, the extent and breadth of democratic values, to the role of public opinion in the electoral process. Using the most current survey data from the 2008 elections and the latest literature on the subject, Erikson and Tedin analyze public opinion and its role in the policy and politics of the United States.



The British National Bibliography

The British National Bibliography Author Arthur James Wells
ISBN-10 STANFORD:36105211722686
Release 2009
Pages
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The British National Bibliography has been writing in one form or another for most of life. You can find so many inspiration from The British National Bibliography also informative, and entertaining. Click DOWNLOAD or Read Online button to get full The British National Bibliography book for free.



Agamemnon

Agamemnon Author Aeschylus
ISBN-10 BSB:BSB10234351
Release 1822
Pages 382
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Agamemnon has been writing in one form or another for most of life. You can find so many inspiration from Agamemnon also informative, and entertaining. Click DOWNLOAD or Read Online button to get full Agamemnon book for free.