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Thinking in Bets

Thinking in Bets Author Annie Duke
ISBN-10 9780735216365
Release 2018-02-06
Pages 288
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Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result. In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck? Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.



Winning Without Thinking

Winning Without Thinking Author Nick Mordin
ISBN-10 1904328148
Release 2006-10
Pages 426
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Nick Mordin estimates he has spent over 30,000 hours researching racing results over the years. His aim has been to uncover the principles that govern the betting market and racing results themselves. In conducting his research Nick has tested thousands of systems, both his own and those developed by academics, professional gamblers and others around the globe. In Winning Without Thinking he shares the fruits of this work. the results of horse-races; basic principles that govern racing results and the betting market; mistakes commonly made by the general betting public and how to exploit them; full details of betting systems used by professional gamblers to make millions; how to predict and profit from new trends; and how to use computers to increase your returns.



Thinking about Acting

Thinking about Acting Author John L. Pollock
ISBN-10 0195304810
Release 2006-07-27
Pages 267
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John Pollock aims to construct a theory of rational decision making for real agents--not ideal agents. Pollock argues that theories of ideal rationality are largely irrelevant to the decision making of real agents. Thinking about Acting aims to provide a theory of "real rationality."



I Am a Dice Controller

I Am a Dice Controller Author Frank Scoblete
ISBN-10 9781633191822
Release 2015-05-01
Pages 256
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Dice control. The only way to beat the casinos at craps! Frank Scoblete reveals his secrets and takes you step-by-step through his dice control techniques: sets, stance, grip, throw, arc, backspin, landing, proper betting, and the 5-Count. Additionally, Frank exposes the good, the bad, and the ugly betrayals he experienced in 25 years playing with the world's greatest dice controllers. Join the legendary Captain, the father of dice control. Marvel at the greatest dice controller of all time, the woman known as "The Arm" in the roaring days of Atlantic City! Meet today's dice control stars: the Dominator, Jerry "Stickman," Chris "Sharpshooter" Pawlicki, Howard "Rock 'n' Roller," Bill "Ace-10" Burton, Bob "Mr. Finesse," John "Skinny," [email protected], Billy "the Kid," Daryl "No Field Five," Arman "Pit Boss," Mark "Dice Pilot," Randy "Randman," and Tim "Timmer." Learn about PARR, the first dice control class created by controversial author Jerry Patterson. Enter the famous Golden Touch dice control school. Meet the great dice control teams: the Captain's Crew, the Lee Brothers, the Five Horsemen, and the tag teams of Marilyn "the Goddess" and Charlie "Sandtrap;" Heavenly Kitten and Star Shine; Pat "Dr. Crapology" and Janis "Alligator Rose." Meet the crooks, the cheats, the scoundrels, and the screw-ups of the dice-control world. Join Frank on his adventures inside the exclusive world of elite dice controllers.



Statistical Thinking in Sports

Statistical Thinking in Sports Author Jim Albert
ISBN-10 1584888695
Release 2007-07-12
Pages 298
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Since the first athletic events found a fan base, sports and statistics have always maintained a tight and at times mythical relationship. As a way to relay the telling of a game's drama and attest to the prodigious powers of the heroes involved, those reporting on the games tallied up the numbers that they believe best described the action and best defined the winning edge. However, they may not have always counted the right numbers. Many of our hallowed beliefs about sports statistics have long been fraught with misnomers. Whether it concerns Scottish football or American baseball, the most revered statistics often have little to do with any winning edge. Covering an international collection of sports, Statistical Thinking in Sports provides an accessible survey of current research in statistics and sports, written by experts from a variety of arenas. Rather than rely on casual observation, they apply the rigorous tools of statistics to re-examine many of those concepts that have gone from belief to fact, based mostly on the repetition of their claims. Leaving assumption behind, these researchers take on a host of tough questions- Is a tennis player only as good as his or her first serve? Is there such a thing as home field advantage? Do concerns over a decline in soccer's competitive balance have any merit? What of momentum-is its staying power any greater than yesterday's win? And what of pressure performers? Are there such creatures or ultimately, does every performer fall back to his or her established normative? Investigating a wide range of international team and individual sports, the book considers the ability to make predictions, define trends, and measure any number of influences. It is full of interesting and useful examples for those teaching introductory statistics. Although the articles are aimed at general readers, the serious researcher in sports statistics will also find the articles of value and highly useful as starting points for further research.



Thinking Strategically The Competitive Edge in Business Politics and Everyday Life

Thinking Strategically  The Competitive Edge in Business  Politics  and Everyday Life Author Avinash K. Dixit
ISBN-10 0393069796
Release 1993-04-17
Pages 416
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The international bestseller—don't compete without it! A major bestseller in Japan, Financial Times Top Ten book of the year, Book-of-the-Month Club bestseller, and required reading at the best business schools, Thinking Strategically is a crash course in outmaneuvering any rival. This entertaining guide builds on scores of case studies taken from business, sports, the movies, politics, and gambling. It outlines the basics of good strategy making and then shows how you can apply them in any area of your life.



Thinking and Deciding

Thinking and Deciding Author Jonathan Baron
ISBN-10 0521659728
Release 2000-12-28
Pages 570
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Jonathan Baron has updated and expanded his classic textbook Thinking and Deciding.



Critical Thinking

Critical Thinking Author Peter Nardi
ISBN-10 9780520291843
Release 2017-08-22
Pages 168
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"Critical Thinking: A Methodology for Interpreting Information 'deconstructs' common errors in thinking and teaches students to become smarter consumers of research results. Written to complement a textbook or a collection of readings, this brief methods book strengthens students' ability to interpret information whenever and wherever data are used. It includes a wide range of examples along with end of chapter exercises for further discussion. This book will be a coursebook for the undergraduate social science courses where critical thinking, numeracy, and data literacy are common learning objectives"--Provided by publisher.



State of the World 2010

State of the World 2010 Author The Worldwatch Institute
ISBN-10 9781610916295
Release 2015-03-19
Pages 266
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Like a tsunami, consumerism has engulfed human cultures and Earth’s ecosystems. Left unaddressed, we risk global disaster. But if we channel this wave, intentionally transforming our cultures to center on sustainability, we will not only prevent catastrophe, but may usher in an era of sustainability—one that allows all people to thrive while protecting, even restoring, Earth. In State of the World 2010, sixty renowned researchers and practitioners describe how we can harness the world’s leading institutions—education, the media, business, governments, traditions, and social movements—to reorient cultures toward sustainability.



Secrets of Professional Sports Betting

Secrets of Professional Sports Betting Author Michael Kochan
ISBN-10 9781580424387
Release 2013-09-25
Pages 256
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Secrets of Professional Sports Betting has been writing in one form or another for most of life. You can find so many inspiration from Secrets of Professional Sports Betting also informative, and entertaining. Click DOWNLOAD or Read Online button to get full Secrets of Professional Sports Betting book for free.



Sports Betting to Win

Sports Betting to Win Author Steve Ward
ISBN-10 9780857191205
Release 2011
Pages 218
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Thinking, and betting, like the pros "Most people in sports betting are looking at things the wrong way." - Peter Webb, founder of Bet Angel "Some people only ever seem to want to hit the sexy six, and not take the singles" - Compton Hellyer, founder of Sporting Index This is a book that teaches you how to bet on sports with the same discipline and mindset as the professionals. Lots of books and websites give advice on profitable strategies - and tipsters and systems proliferate. But this is the only guide that helps you make your trades and bank your wins for the long term, avoiding the perennial dangers of overconfidence, irrationality and emotion. However successful your selections, you are never safe from crippling losses until you know how to bet with the clear head and calm approach of the masters. The simple fact is that most people betting on sports lose over the long term. Performance errors currently hamper the majority of bettors: they lose their bets because they first lose their heads.The only answer is to think differently. With chapters ranging across motivation, performance analysis, the betting process and going pro, this book is the definitive guide to achieving this: - Use dozens of exercises to sharpen your thinking and refine your betting processes. - Share in the exclusive insights of professional sports bettors, who reveal for the first time how they have built successful gambling careers. - Benefit in every chapter from one-to-one training from the author, a professional sports and trading performance coach. Sports Betting to Win is your own personal course for establishing a firm psychological foundation for long-term betting success.



Last Orders

Last Orders Author Graham Swift
ISBN-10 9780330516082
Release 2012-01-26
Pages 304
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Four men once close to Jack Dodds, a London butcher, meet to carry out his peculiar last wish: to have his ashes scattered into the sea. For reasons best known to herself, Jack’s widow, Amy, declines to join them. On the surface the tale of a simple if increasingly bizarre day’s outing, Last Orders is Graham Swift’s most poignant exploration of the complexity and courage of ordinary lives. ‘Last Orders confirms his reputation as one of the great contemporary chroniclers of landscape and memory’ Observer ‘His finest book to date; emotionally charged and technically superb’ Times Literary Supplement ‘Inspired . . . His finest novel yet’ Guardian ‘A triumph’ Sunday Times ‘Tragic, comic and wonderfully compassionate’ Daily Mail



In Defense of Religious Moderation

In Defense of Religious Moderation Author William Egginton
ISBN-10 9780231520966
Release 2011-05-31
Pages 176
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In his latest book, William Egginton laments the current debate over religion in America, in which religious fundamentalists have set the tone of political discourse—no one can get elected without advertising a personal relation to God, for example—and prominent atheists treat religious belief as the root of all evil. Neither of these positions, Egginton argues, adequately represents the attitudes of a majority of Americans who, while identifying as Christians, Jews, and Muslims, do not find fault with those who support different faiths and philosophies. In fact, Egginton goes so far as to question whether fundamentalists and atheists truly oppose each other, united as they are in their commitment to a "code of codes." In his view, being a religious fundamentalist does not require adhering to a particular religious creed. Fundamentalists—and stringent atheists—unconsciously believe that the methods we use to understand the world are all versions of an underlying master code. This code of codes represents an ultimate truth, explaining everything. Surprisingly, perhaps the most effective weapon against such thinking is religious moderation, a way of believing that questions the very possibility of a code of codes as the source of all human knowledge. The moderately religious, with their inherent skepticism toward a master code, are best suited to protect science, politics, and other diverse strains of knowledge from fundamentalist attack, and to promote a worldview based on the compatibility between religious faith and scientific method.



The Wind in the Willows Greek Edition

The Wind in the Willows  Greek Edition Author Kenneth Grahame
ISBN-10 1511850566
Release 2015-04-23
Pages 266
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The Wind in the Willows (Greek edition)



The Risk Factor

The Risk Factor Author Deborah Perry Piscione
ISBN-10 9781137474667
Release 2014-12-23
Pages 256
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Our most revered business icons of the last few decades are the bold risktakers, such as Richard Branson, Elon Musk, and Steve Jobs. Yet in today's stock market-driven economy, companies are playing it safe, with too many leaders focused on short-term gains, rather than value creation. The result is a static business culture that generates forgettable results—even as the world demands big solutions. So how do we get back in the risk-taking game? In The Risk Factor, Deborah Perry Piscione takes the most comprehensive look at this crucial, undervalued leadership behavior, and outlines how companies must support risk-taking across the enterprise. Exploring the heroes of risk, including entrepreneurs, venture capitalists, and technologists, and the role risk-taking and failure tolerance play in their success, she makes a compelling case not only for big, flashy mergers or acquisitions, but also for unorthodox choices in everything from leadership to corporate social responsibility. Drawing on case studies from a wide range of now-famous giants (Netflix, Salesforce) and successful start-ups (Tesla, NetApp), she distills lessons for both new entrepreneurs and established companies whose longtime risk aversion has cost them more than they realize.



Merlin s Pawn

Merlin s Pawn Author James Nathan Post
ISBN-10 9781469793634
Release 2001-11-13
Pages 144
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The life of a working-class shape-shifter in Las Vegas, a high-rolling sports-book bet runner and low-flying dope runner, and his amorous adventures with a woman who is a child in bed, and vice versa. Cool professionals to crack-crazed crackpots, small-time cons to working carnies, Merlins Pawn is a fast-paced ride through of one of Americas most exciting cities.



Foundations for New Economic Thinking

Foundations for New Economic Thinking Author S. Dow
ISBN-10 9781137000729
Release 2012-04-11
Pages 263
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New economic thinking is in demand in the light of the recent economic crisis. This book equips the reader with a better understanding of current ways of thinking as well as an awareness of other possibilities, providing the foundations for debate in theory and methodology alongside practical implications for policy.